Forex analysis - 2025-06-30 (20:49)

June 30, 2025

Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-06-30
Opening : 1.37167
Higher up: 1.37405
Below: 1.36738
Closing : 1.37230

Economic news :
GBP/USD Edges Lower as UK GDP Impresses With 0.7% Gain in Q1
Dollar Drops Heavily Against Major Currencies
Easing Trade Tensions Soothe Markets

Detailed analysis:
### Complete Forex Market Analysis - GBP/USD

#### Current Trend
The GBP/USD pair showed a slight rise over the day on 30 June 2025, opening at 1.37167 and closing at 1.37230. Although the change was modest, this indicates some resilience in sterling against the US dollar. The high of 1.37405 and the low of 1.36738 show moderate intraday volatility. The close above the opening level suggests buying pressure at the end of the day.

#### Impact of Economic News
1. **UK GDP growth:** UK GDP grew by 0.71TP2Q in the first quarter, beating expectations. This is likely to have supported sterling, boosting investor confidence in the UK economy. Solid economic growth tends to increase demand for a currency, as it is often associated with a healthy economy and the prospect of higher interest rates.

2. **Dollar weakness:** The US dollar fell significantly against the major currencies, which also contributed to the rise in the GBP/USD pair. The dollar's decline can be attributed to a combination of factors, such as disappointing economic data in the United States and expectations of accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve.

3. **The easing of trade tensions generally has a positive effect on the markets, encouraging risk and supporting currencies such as sterling, which is perceived as more risky than the US dollar.

#### Short-Term Forecasts
- Bullish scenario:** If the GBP/USD pair continues to benefit from the support of British economic fundamentals and the dollar remains under pressure, we could see a continuation of the rise towards the next resistance level around 1.3750 to 1.3800.

- Bearish scenario:** Conversely, if positive US economic data or a change in market sentiment restores the dollar's strength, the pair could fall back towards support at 1.3670, or even lower.

- Factors to watch:** Investors should remain alert to major economic announcements, such as monetary policy decisions by central banks, as well as any geopolitical or trade developments that could influence market sentiment.

In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair currently appears to be supported by positive economic fundamentals in the UK and a weak dollar. However, vigilance is called for, as currency markets are often influenced by unpredictable global factors.

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