Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-06-20
Opening : 1.34602
Higher up: 1.35111
Below: 1.34405
Closing : 1.34450

Economic news :
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Diverging Fed-BoE Weighs on Pound
Futures Rise Ahead Of Record $5.9 Trillion Triple-Witching OpEx
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Markets quiet, tentative as the weekend draws closer

Detailed analysis:
To carry out a complete analysis of the GBP/USD forex market on 20 June 2025, we need to look at several aspects: the current trend, the impact of recent economic news and short-term forecasts.

### Current trend :

The GBP/USD pair opened at 1.34602 and closed at 1.34450, indicating a slight decline over the course of the day. The high at 1.35111 and the low at 1.34405 show some volatility, but with a general downward trend.

### Impact of economic news :

1. **Diverging Fed-BoE:** The headline "Diverging Fed-BoE Weighs on Pound" suggests that the diverging monetary policies of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE) are weighing on sterling. If the Fed adopts a more restrictive monetary policy (raising interest rates) than the BoE, this could strengthen the dollar and weaken the pound, contributing to a fall in the GBP/USD pair.

2. **Triple-Witching OpEx:** The triple-witching event, which involves the simultaneous expiry of stock index futures, stock index options and equity options, can lead to increased market volatility. Although this mainly affects stock markets, the impact on general market sentiment can indirectly influence Forex, particularly if investors reallocate their capital.

3. **Calm ahead of the weekend:** News of calm and cautious markets ahead of the weekend may signal a drop in volatility in the very short term. Traders may be waiting for further guidance or avoid taking significant positions before the weekend.

### Short-term forecasts :

1. **Bullish scenario:** If the BoE indicates a more aggressive monetary policy than expected, or if positive UK economic data is released, this could reverse the current trend and push GBP/USD higher. A technical rebound could also occur if the support level around 1.34400 holds.

2. **Bearish scenario:** The continuation of divergent monetary policies, with the Fed remaining more aggressive, could continue to weigh on sterling. If positive US economic data is released, this could strengthen the dollar and push the pair to new lows.

3. **Neutral scenario:** In the absence of significant economic news or changes in monetary policy, the pair could move in a narrow range, with traders waiting for new data or announcements.

To sum up, the current trend in the GBP/USD pair is slightly bearish, influenced by macroeconomic and monetary factors. Short-term forecasts depend mainly on central bank policy developments and future economic data. Traders will need to monitor economic announcements and central bank statements to adjust their positions.

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