Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-04-25
Opening : 1.33316
Higher up: 1.33396
Below: 1.32735
Closing : 1.33250

Economic news :
GBP/USD Edges Lower as UK Retail Sales Beat Forecast
Man Group PLC : Form 8.3 - Serica Energy plc
GBP/USD Outlook: Confidence Slips Despite Up UK Retail Sales

Detailed analysis:
To analyse the Forex market for the GBP/USD pair on 25 April 2025, it is essential to take into account market data, economic news and technical indicators. Here is a full analysis:

### Technical Analysis :

- The pair opened at 1.33316 and closed slightly lower at 1.33250, indicating slight downward pressure for the day.

- High and Low:** The day's high at 1.33396 and low at 1.32735 show a moderate range of volatility. The fact that the close is close to the open suggests indecision in the market.

- General trend:** The intraday trend looks neutral to slightly bearish, given that the close is lower than the open. However, the presence of volatility indicates that traders are actively reacting to economic news.

### Impact of Economic News :

- UK Retail Sales:** Although retail sales beat forecasts, the GBP/USD pair fell slightly. This could suggest that investors were expecting good results or that other economic or geopolitical factors had a more significant impact.

- Market Confidence:** The mention that confidence is slipping despite good retail sales indicates underlying concern, potentially linked to other macroeconomic factors or political uncertainties.

### Fundamental Factors :

- Although this news is not directly related to Forex, it may influence investors' general perception of the UK market, which may indirectly affect sterling.

### Short Term Forecast :

1. **Bullish scenario:** If further UK economic data comes in positive, or if the US dollar weakens due to disappointing economic data or accommodative Fed monetary policies, the pair could rebound above 1.3350.

2. **Bearish scenario:** If confidence continues to erode and external factors such as geopolitical tensions or political uncertainty in the UK persist, the pair could test support levels around 1.3250.

3. **Sideways scenario:** In the absence of major economic news or external catalysts, the pair could continue to trade in a narrow range around current levels.

### Conclusion :

The GBP/USD pair is showing a degree of indecision, influenced by contradictory economic factors. Traders should keep a close eye on upcoming economic announcements, as well as technical indicators for clearer trend signals. Developments in the monetary policies of central banks, notably the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve, will also play a crucial role in the pair's future direction.