XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-16
Opening : 3329.35
Higher up: 3336.01
Below: 3327.21
Closing : 3331.25

Economic news :
investingLive European markets wrap: Dollar eases lower ahead of US retail sales
Dollar gives back a chunk of its gains from the day before
Strong US PPI Jolts Global Markets, Gold Slides as Fed Dovish Hopes Fade

Detailed analysis:
The gold market (XAUUSD) is showing a slightly bullish trend today, with a slight rebound after opening at 3329.35 and closing at 3331.25. Key resistance currently lies around 3336, while major support is at 3327. Recent volatility remains moderate, but movements in the US dollar, which recently gave up some of its gains, could influence short-term direction.

Traders should pay close attention to the recent US PPI figures, which surprised on the upside, reducing hopes of a dovish monetary policy from the Fed. This could limit gold's advance, although the weakening dollar offers some support. Developments in US retail sales will also be crucial in assessing economic health and its potential impact on interest rates.

### Potential scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Development:** If gold manages to break through resistance at 3336, the next target could be 3345.
- Invalidation:** A return below 3327 would invalidate this bullish scenario.
- Traps to avoid:** Do not buy on a break without volume confirmation.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Corners:** The market could move between 3327 and 3336, reflecting consolidation.
- Monitoring:** Observe reactions at the extremes of this range to anticipate a possible break.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Avoid taking up positions in the middle of the range without a clear signal.

3. **Cashier scenario:**
- Development:** A break below support at 3327 could lead to a fall towards 3315.
- Invalidation:** A return above 3336 would invalidate this bearish scenario.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Don't rush to sell on a false break.

### Risk management advice :

- Money Management:** Use tight stops to protect your capital, especially in a market influenced by volatile economic data.
- Wait for clear confirmation before taking a position, especially in an uncertain market influenced by macroeconomic factors.

In conclusion, although gold is showing a slight upward trend today, traders must remain vigilant to macroeconomic influences and be ready to adapt their strategies according to changes in economic data and movements in the dollar.