XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-16
Opening : 3329.35
Higher up: 3336.01
Below: 3327.21
Closing : 3331.25

Economic news :
investingLive European markets wrap: Dollar eases lower ahead of US retail sales
Dollar gives back a chunk of its gains from the day before
Strong US PPI Jolts Global Markets, Gold Slides as Fed Dovish Hopes Fade

Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is showing an overall neutral trend, with a slight bearish tilt due to recent economic data. The price has oscillated between 3327.21 and 3336.01, stabilising at 3331.25 at the close. Immediate support levels lie around 3325, while key resistance is at 3340. Volatility remains moderate, but attention should be focused on movements in the US dollar and forthcoming economic announcements.

The markets are currently being influenced by fluctuations in the dollar, which recently lost some of its gains after rising sharply on the back of robust PPI data in the United States. This has dampened hopes of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Fed, which could weigh on gold in the sessions ahead.

### Potential short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Hypothesis:* A recovery in the dollar could weaken if forthcoming US economic data disappoints, supporting gold.
- Levels to watch:* A break above 3340 could signal a climb towards 3355.
- Invalidation:* A fall below 3325 would invalidate this bullish scenario.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Hypothesis:* The market could remain stuck between 3325 and 3340 while waiting for more clarity on monetary policy developments.
- Corners:* Monitoring of 3325 (support) and 3340 (resistance) levels.
- Pitfalls to avoid:* Don't get caught out by false break signals in this range.

3. **Bearish scenario:**
- Hypothesis:* If the dollar recovers on the back of positive economic data, gold could fall further.
- Levels to watch:* A break below 3325 could lead to a fall towards 3310.
- Invalidation:* A return above 3340 would cancel out this bearish scenario.

### Risk management advice :

- Wait for confirmation:** Before opening a position, make sure the price confirms a significant break of key levels to avoid market traps.
- Capital management:** Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on a single position to protect your portfolio in the event of unforeseen movements.

To sum up, the gold market is currently at a delicate balancing point, influenced by movements in the dollar and expectations about Fed policy. Adjust your strategy in line with economic and geopolitical developments.