XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-14
Opening : 3350.8
Higher up: 3361
Below: 3338.18
Closing : 3347.74

Economic news :
FX option expiries for 14 August 10am New York cut
investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Yen rises on Bessent meddling, hits Nikkei
GBP/USD climbs as BoE seen firm, Fed seen cutting rates

Detailed analysis:
Today's session for the XAUUSD shows a slight downtrend, closing at 3347.74, down from the open of 3350.8. Key levels to watch include support at 3338, which corresponds to the recent low, and immediate resistance at 3361, the day's high. Volatility remains moderate, but fluctuations in the US dollar and the outlook for US interest rates could influence this dynamic.

Recent economic news indicates that the Bank of England could keep rates firm, while the US Federal Reserve is seen as likely to cut rates, which could put further pressure on the dollar. In addition, tensions in Asia, particularly with the Japanese yen strengthening, could also affect gold's movements because of its safe-haven status.

### Potential short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:** If the XAUUSD manages to break through and close above resistance at 3361, a move towards 3375 could be triggered. This scenario would be invalidated if the price falls back below 3338. Traders should keep an eye out for major economic announcements that could influence the dollar.

2. **Range scenario:** The XAUUSD could move between 3338 and 3361. In this context, traders should focus on short-term trading opportunities by taking advantage of bounces at the extremes of this range. A clear break of one of these bounds would indicate a change in momentum.

3. **Bearish scenario:** If support at 3338 gives way, a fall towards 3320 could materialise. This scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 3361. Pitfalls to avoid include sharp moves caused by unexpected economic news.

### Risk management advice :

- Caution and confirmation:** Wait for clear confirmation before taking positions, especially near support and resistance levels. This will help you avoid false signals.

- Position management:** Avoid overtrading by limiting the number of open positions at any one time. Make sure that each trade complies with your money management rules, in particular by setting stop-losses adjusted to the current level of volatility.

In short, remain vigilant to economic and geopolitical developments that could rapidly alter the current outlook for the gold market.

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