XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-12
Opening : 3344.14
Higher up: 3357.52
Below: 3332
Closing : 3342.9

Economic news :
Markets Digest U.S. CPI, U.S.-China Trade Truce
Global Markets React to Divergent Monetary Policies, Geopolitical Tensions, and Tech Innovations
Rate Cut Hopes Drag The Dollar Down

Detailed analysis:
Today's session for gold (XAUUSD) promises to be mixed. The price opened at 3344.14 before fluctuating between a high of 3357.52 and a low of 3332 to close at 3342.9, signalling slight downward pressure. Key support is around 3330, while immediate resistance is at 3360. Volatility was moderate, with a range of 25.52 points.

The current economic context is marked by persistent geopolitical tensions and a trade truce between the United States and China. At the same time, US inflation, recently highlighted by the CPI, is influencing monetary policy expectations, with hopes of a rate cut weighing on the dollar. This last factor could support gold in the short term.

**Bullish scenario**: A rebound above 3360 could open the way to 3380. This scenario would be invalidated by a break below 3330. Watch for confirmation by a daily close above the resistance, thus avoiding false signals.

**Range scenario** : Prices could oscillate between 3330 and 3360. This consolidation zone could persist if economic and geopolitical news does not provide any major catalysts. Traders should be wary of potential range breaks, particularly in the event of unexpected economic news.

**Bearish scenario**: A clear break below support at 3330 could push gold towards 3300, which would be invalidated by a recovery above 3360. Beware of false signals at the start of the session, often due to profit-taking.

**Risk management advice** :
1. **Money Management**: Consider a risk/return ratio of at least 1:2 for any position, in order to maximise potential gains while limiting losses.
2. **Confirmation**: Before taking a position, wait for confirmation of movements via daily closes above key levels to avoid intraday volatility traps.

Adapt your strategy according to market news and the dollar's reactions, while keeping a close eye on geopolitical developments that could impact gold in unpredictable ways.