XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-12
Opening : 3344.14
Higher up: 3357.09
Below: 3338.72
Closing : 3350.2

Economic news :
Global Markets React to Divergent Monetary Policies, Geopolitical Tensions, and Tech Innovations
Rate Cut Hopes Drag The Dollar Down
Markets Brace For Inflation Data From The U.S.

Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is showing a slightly upward trend, with the price stabilising at around 3350.2 after oscillating between 3338.72 and 3357.09. This bullish momentum is being fuelled mainly by recent weakness in the US dollar, which is under pressure from hopes of an interest rate cut. Investors are also preparing for the imminent announcement of US inflation data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy. Global geopolitical tensions add another layer of complexity, reinforcing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.

### Key supports and resistances
- Major support**: 3330
- Immediate resistance**: 3360
- Superior resistance**: 3380

### Volatility and risk zones
Volatility remains moderate, but could intensify with the publication of inflation data. Traders should watch out for sharp movements around these announcements, as well as geopolitical developments that could quickly change market dynamics.

### Potential short-term scenarios

1. **Bullish scenario**: If the price breaks through the immediate resistance at 3360, a move towards 3380 is conceivable. This scenario would be invalidated if the price falls back below 3330. It is crucial to keep an eye on inflation data, which could reinforce this move.

2. **Range scenario** : The market could move sideways between 3330 and 3360 while waiting for clearer signals from economic data. Traders should watch out for false breakouts within this zone.

3. **Bearish scenario**: A clear break below 3330 could lead to a correction towards 3300. This scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 3360. Selling pressure could intensify if inflation exceeds expectations, making a rate hike more likely.

### Risk management advice

1. **Patience and confirmation**: Always wait for confirmation before entering a position, especially around major economic announcements. Don't jump on the first impulsive moves in the market.

2. **Prudent capital management**: Avoid overtrading by clearly defining your entry and exit levels and respecting your loss limits. Good money management discipline is essential for navigating these potentially volatile conditions.