XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-12
Opening : 3344.14
Higher up: 3345.45
Below: 3338.72
Closing : 3339.46

Economic news :
Rate Cut Hopes Drag The Dollar Down
Markets Brace For Inflation Data From The U.S.
Markets Brace For Inflation Data From The U.S.

Detailed analysis:
On 12 August 2025, the gold market (XAUUSD) is trending slightly downwards. The price opened at 3344.14 and closed at 3339.46, marking a day of slight decline. Recent volatility remains moderate, with a daily range between 3345.45 (high) and 3338.72 (low). Key levels to watch include major support around 3330 and resistance at 3350.

The US dollar is currently under pressure on hopes of a rate cut, which could support gold in the short term. However, the wait for US inflation data could create volatile and unpredictable movements. On the geopolitical front, no major new disturbances have been reported recently.

### Potential scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Assumption:** A break above resistance at 3350 could signal a bullish recovery.
- Levels to watch:** A close above 3355 would confirm this scenario, with a potential target at 3370.
- Invalidation:** A return below 3335 would cancel this bullish momentum.
- Pitfalls to Avoid:** Avoid entering too fast movements without volume confirmation.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Assumption:** The market could hover between 3330 and 3350 while awaiting inflation data.
- Corners:** Support at 3330 and resistance at 3350.
- Strategy:** Favour range trading strategies by buying low and selling high within these limits.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Don't get caught out by false starts outside this range.

3. **Cashier scenario:**
- Assumption:** If support at 3330 gives way, downward pressure could intensify.
- Levels to watch:** A break below 3325 would open the way to 3310.
- Invalidation:** A return above 3340 would cancel out this bearish scenario.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Be cautious of technical rebounds around key supports.

### Risk Management Advice :

1. **Money Management:** Set protective stops for each position to limit potential losses, and adjust them according to current volatility.

2. **Confirmation:** Wait for clear confirmation before committing yourself to any positions, especially before the publication of inflation data.

To sum up, although the gold market is showing a slight downward trend today, the uncertainties surrounding future economic data call for caution. Adopt a disciplined approach and adjust your strategies in line with macroeconomic developments.