XAUUSD analysis - 2025-07-15 (00:49)

XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-15
Opening : 3342.4
Higher up: 3348.1
Below: 3341.1
Closing : 3345.76001

Economic news :
EUR/USD, FTSE 100 Forecast: Two Trades to Watch
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar steadies, Bitcoin and silver rallies
Dollar Rebounds As Trade War Escalates

Detailed analysis:
On 15 July 2025, the gold market (XAUUSD) is showing a slightly upward trend, closing at 3345.76 after opening at 3342.4. The precious metal traded in a narrow range between 3341.1 and 3348.1, signalling moderate volatility. Key levels to watch include immediate support at 3341 and resistance at 3348. Market dynamics influenced by a rebounding dollar, following the intensification of trade tensions, suggest increased caution.

**Bullish scenario:** If the price manages to break through resistance at 3348 on a sustained basis, an advance towards 3355 could be possible. This scenario would be invalidated if the price fell back below 3341, indicating a lack of sufficient bullish momentum.

**Range scenario:** The price could move into the narrow range of 3341 to 3348, reflecting a period of accumulation. Traders should watch for breaks in this range to detect potential trend changes. The boundaries of the range, 3341 and 3348, will serve as critical levels to watch.

**Bearish scenario:** A break below support at 3341 could trigger increased selling pressure, with a potential target at 3335. This scenario would be invalidated by a return above 3348, indicating renewed buyer strength.

**Risk management advice:**
1. **Money Management:** Limit your exposure by adjusting the size of your positions, particularly against a backdrop of moderate volatility and geopolitical uncertainty.
2. **Confirmation:** Wait for clear confirmation before entering a position, especially around identified key levels, to avoid the pitfalls of false signals.

In short, the gold market remains sensitive to fluctuations in the dollar and geopolitical tensions, requiring close attention to macroeconomic developments and changes in volatility indices.