XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-21
Opening : 3339.88
Higher up: 3342.56
Below: 3335.59
Closing : 3337.23

Economic news :
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Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is trending slightly lower. The close is down on the open, reflecting some selling pressure. Key levels to watch include immediate support around 3335, and short-term resistance at 3342. Volatility remains moderate, but the expectation of the FOMC Minutes could act as a catalyst for more significant movements. Sentiment is influenced by the prospect of a weakening US dollar, while speculation about a possible interest rate cut is growing, fuelled by the Jackson Hole symposium.

### Short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Assumption:** If the price manages to break through resistance at 3342 with significant volume, a move towards 3350 could materialise.
- Invalidation:** Back below 3335, indicating persistent weakness.
- Levels to watch:** 3342 (resistance), 3350 (target).
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Do not rush ahead of the publication of the FOMC Minutes, which could reverse sentiment.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Assumption:** The price could oscillate between 3335 (support) and 3342 (resistance) in the absence of a major catalyst.
- Corners:** 3335 (lower support), 3342 (upper resistance).
- Levels to watch out for:** Bounce and test the terminals.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Over-trading in a market with no clear direction.

3. **Cashier scenario:**
- Hypothesis:** A break below 3335 could pave the way for a fall towards 3328.
- Invalidation:** Rebound above 3342, signalling a bullish recovery.
- Levels to watch:** 3335 (support), 3328 (lower target).
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Entering a downtrend without confirmation of increased volume.

### Risk management advice :

- Money Management:** Limit your exposure to a defined percentage of your capital per position to avoid heavy losses in the event of an adverse movement.
- Before entering a position, wait for clear signals and avoid reacting impulsively to the first fluctuations after the publication of the FOMC Minutes.