XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-16
Opening : 3329.35
Higher up: 3336.01
Below: 3327.21
Closing : 3329.21

Economic news :
investingLive European markets wrap: Dollar eases lower ahead of US retail sales
Dollar gives back a chunk of its gains from the day before
Strong US PPI Jolts Global Markets, Gold Slides as Fed Dovish Hopes Fade

Detailed analysis:
Today's session on the gold market (XAUUSD) shows a slightly downward trend. The price opened at 3329.35, marked by a slight pullback to close at 3329.21. Volatility remains moderate, with movements confined between a low of 3327.21 and a high of 3336.01. Key levels to watch include immediate support around 3325, while significant resistance can be found at 3340.

On the macroeconomic front, the recent publication of the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the United States surprised on the upside, triggering a negative reaction in gold on expectations of a potentially less accommodative monetary policy by the Fed. In addition, the dollar, after rebounding, weakened slightly, which could offer the precious metal a slight respite.

### Potential short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Assumption:** If gold manages to break through and hold above resistance at 3340.
- Levels to watch:** A break above 3340 could take the price towards the 3355 area.
- Invalidation:** A return below 3325 would invalidate this bullish scenario.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Do not rush to buy without confirming the breakage.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Assumption:** Stabilisation between 3325 and 3340.
- Bollards:** Lower limit at 3325 and upper limit at 3340.
- Traps to avoid:** Avoid trading in the middle of the range without clear signals.

3. **Bearish scenario:**
- Assumption:** If support breaks down at 3325.
- Levels to watch:** A break below 3325 could lead to a fall towards 3310.
- Invalidation:** A return above 3340 would invalidate this bearish scenario.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Do not sell on levels that have already been extended without confirmation.

### Risk management advice :

- Money Management:** Adjust the size of your positions according to current volatility and make sure you respect strict stop-loss rules to limit potential losses.

- Caution and confirmation:** Wait for clear confirmation before taking positions, especially with the current uncertainty surrounding US monetary policy and fluctuations in the dollar. Avoid overtrading by remaining disciplined and concentrating on high-probability configurations.