XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-15
Opening : 3330.23
Higher up: 3341.09
Below: 3326.01
Closing : 3335.61

Economic news :
Dollar gives back a chunk of its gains from the day before
Strong US PPI Jolts Global Markets, Gold Slides as Fed Dovish Hopes Fade
GBP/USD Struggles to Extend Rally Despite Strong UK Growth Figures

Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is showing a fairly neutral dynamic with a slight uptrend, closing at 3335.61 after navigating between a low of 3326.01 and a high of 3341.09. The US dollar, after giving up some of its earlier gains, is exerting a moderate influence on gold, while robust US PPI figures have tempered hopes of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Fed. These factors contributed to measured volatility in the gold market.

### Key Supports and Resistances
- Major support**: 3320, a crucial level to avoid further selling pressure.
- Immediate resistance**: 3350, threshold to be breached to confirm a significant uptrend.

### Zones at Risk
Keep a close eye on fluctuations in the US dollar and announcements from the Fed, which could trigger sharp movements.

### Potential scenarios

1. **Bullish scenario**.
- Confirmation level**: A clear and sustained breach of resistance at 3350.
- Invalidation level**: Back below 3320, which could signal a loss of bullish momentum.
- Pitfall to avoid**: Rushing on bullish signals without clear confirmation above 3350.

2. **Range Scenario
- Range Boundaries**: 3320 - 3350.
- Recommended approach**: Exploit the extremes of the range while waiting for a clear break one way or the other.
- Pitfall to avoid**: Don't anticipate a premature break-up without significant volume.

3. **Cashier scenario
- Trigger level**: Clear break of support at 3320.
- Invalidation level**: Back above 3350, cancelling out the bearish pressure.
- Pitfall to avoid**: Sell aggressively without confirmation that support has been broken.

### Risk Management Advice
- Avoid Overtrading**: In an uncertain environment, limit the number of open positions to reduce the risk of excessive exposure.
- Wait for Confirmation**: Before taking a position, make sure that the signals are clear and supported by volume, especially in periods of moderate volatility.

In short, caution is the order of the day today, with the gold market awaiting clearer signals, influenced by fluctuations in the dollar and expectations regarding the Fed's monetary policy.