XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-14
Opening : 3350.8
Higher up: 3361
Below: 3348.61
Closing : 3351.1

Economic news :
GBP/USD climbs as BoE seen firm, Fed seen cutting rates
UK housing market slows on tax and rate uncertainty - RICS survey
Global FX Market Summary: Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy and Independence, US Dollar's Weakness, US-Russia peace summit 13 August 2025

Detailed analysis:
On 14 August 2025, the gold market (XAUUSD) is showing a slight uptrend, albeit limited by small movements. The recent price stands at 3351.1, having fluctuated between a high of 3361 and a low of 3348.61. Immediate support lies around 3345, while the key resistance to watch is at 3365. Volatility remains moderate, influenced by recent fluctuations in the US dollar and the outlook for interest rates.

On the macroeconomic front, the weakness of the US dollar, fuelled by expectations of a Fed rate cut, continues to support gold. In addition, the peace summit between the United States and Russia has eased geopolitical tensions, providing a more stable environment overall for safe-haven assets.

### Potential short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Assumption:** If the price crosses and remains above 3365, a move towards 3380 could be possible.
- Invalidation:** A return below 3345 would cancel out this bullish outlook.
- Pitfall to avoid:** Don't rush into a breakout without confirmation from significant volumes.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Assumption:** The market could move sideways between 3345 and 3365.
- Corners:** Support at 3345, resistance at 3365.
- Traps to avoid:** Avoid positioning near the extremes of the range without a clear reversal signal.

3. **Bearish scenario:**
- Hypothesis:** A break below 3345 could pave the way for a fall towards 3325.
- Invalidation:** A return above 3360 would cast doubt on this scenario.
- Pitfall to avoid:** Do not underestimate technical rebounds in a bear market.

### Risk management advice :

- With moderate volatility, it is crucial to check volumes before committing to a trade, to avoid false breakouts.
- Discipline and patience:** Wait for clear confirmation before acting, especially near key levels, to avoid overtrading and emotional decisions.

To sum up, although gold is trending slightly upwards, caution is still called for given the macroeconomic and technical uncertainties. Adapting your strategies according to the scenarios identified will help you to navigate these uncertain waters more effectively.