XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-13
Opening : 3342.52
Higher up: 3351.78
Below: 3335.55
Closing : 3350.11
Economic news :
Markets Digest U.S. CPI, U.S.-China Trade Truce
Global Markets React to Divergent Monetary Policies, Geopolitical Tensions, and Tech Innovations
Rate Cut Hopes Drag The Dollar Down
Detailed analysis:
On 13 August 2025, the gold market (XAUUSD) is trending upwards. The opening at 3342.52 followed by a close at 3350.11, after a high at 3351.78, confirms a slight positive momentum. Key levels to watch include immediate support around 3335, while major resistance lies at 3360. Recent volatility has been moderate, but geopolitical tensions and the US-China trade truce are adding a layer of uncertainty.
The US dollar is under pressure from expectations of lower interest rates, which is supporting gold. Inflation in the US, as reflected in the latest CPI, remains a crucial factor to watch, as do divergent monetary policies around the world.
### Potential short-term scenarios :
1. **Bullish scenario**: If the price breaks through resistance at 3360, gold could target the 3375 level. This scenario would be invalidated if the price fell back below 3335. Keep an eye on economic announcements and movements in the dollar to avoid false signals.
2. **Range scenario** : Gold could move in a channel between 3335 and 3360. Traders should wait for a clear break of these limits to confirm a direction. Beware of false breakout traps, especially around major economic announcements.
3. **Bearish scenario**: A sharp break below support at 3335 could open the way to 3310. This scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 3360. Watch out for geopolitical developments that could reverse the trend.
### Practical advice on risk management :
- Stay disciplined with your money management**: Make sure that each position you take has a favourable risk/return ratio. Don't put more than 1-2% of your capital on a single transaction.
- Avoid overtrading**: Wait for clear confirmation before taking a position. Patience is key, especially in market conditions influenced by geopolitical and macroeconomic factors.
To sum up, although the current trend is upwards, movements remain sensitive to economic and geopolitical announcements. Adopt a cautious approach and keep an eye on key levels to optimise your trading.
