XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-13
Opening : 3342.52
Higher up: 3351.42
Below: 3335.55
Closing : 3341.45

Economic news :
Markets Digest U.S. CPI, U.S.-China Trade Truce
Global Markets React to Divergent Monetary Policies, Geopolitical Tensions, and Tech Innovations
Rate Cut Hopes Drag The Dollar Down

Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is showing a slightly downward trend, closing slightly lower at 3341.45 after opening at 3342.52. Volatility was moderate, with a high of 3351.42 and a low of 3335.55. Key support levels are around 3330, while immediate resistance is seen at 3355.

Gold is currently influenced by a number of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. The recent announcement of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed moderate inflation, which, combined with hopes of lower interest rates, has weighed on the US dollar. At the same time, the recent trade truce between the United States and China has eased some geopolitical tensions, although tensions persist in other parts of the world.

### Potential short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Assumption:** If the market manages to break through the immediate resistance at 3355, an advance towards 3370 could be envisaged.
- Invalidation:** A return below 3335 would invalidate this bullish scenario.
- Watch out for unpredictable US economic announcements, which could strengthen the dollar and weigh on gold.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Hypothesis:** The market could hover between 3330 and 3355, waiting for clearer signals.
- Corners:** Support at 3330, resistance at 3355.
- Traders should be wary of false break signals, particularly around major economic announcements.

3. **Bearish scenario:**
- Assumption:** If support at 3330 is broken, gold could test lower levels around 3315.
- Invalidation:** A recovery above 3355 would cast doubt on this bearish scenario.
- Caution:** Watch out for movements in the dollar, which could reverse the trend.

### Risk management advice :

- Avoid overtrading:** In a context of moderate volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty, it is crucial to limit the number of positions open at any one time.
- Wait for confirmation:** Before entering a position, wait for confirmation of support or resistance breaks to avoid market traps.

Adapt your strategy according to market signals and remain vigilant in the face of major economic and geopolitical developments.