XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-08-12
Opening : 3344.14
Higher up: 3357.52
Below: 3338.51
Closing : 3347.26

Economic news :
Global Markets React to Divergent Monetary Policies, Geopolitical Tensions, and Tech Innovations
Rate Cut Hopes Drag The Dollar Down
Markets Brace For Inflation Data From The U.S.

Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is trending slightly upwards, closing at 3347.26 after oscillating between a low of 3338.51 and a high of 3357.52. Volatility remains moderate, but the expectation of US inflation data could intensify movements. The US dollar has weakened on hopes of a rate cut, which generally supports gold prices. Current geopolitical tensions and expectations of divergent monetary policies add a layer of complexity to current market dynamics.

### Key levels to monitor :
- Major support**: 3330
- Main resistance**: 3360

### Potential short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Description**: If the price manages to break through resistance at 3360, a continuation towards 3380 is conceivable.
- Invalidation**: This scenario would be invalidated if the price falls back below 3330.
- Pitfalls to avoid**: Don't get in too early without confirmation of a clear break above 3360.

2. **Range scenario:**
- Description** : The market could move into a range between 3330 and 3360.
- Horns**: 3330 to 3360
- Pitfalls to avoid**: Beware of false break signals, particularly around major announcements such as inflation data.

3. **Bearish scenario:**
- Description**: A break below support at 3330 could lead to a fall towards 3300.
- Invalidation**: This scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 3360.
- Pitfalls to avoid**: Do not sell aggressively without confirmation of a net close below 3330.

### Risk management advice :

- Be careful with overtrading**: Remain disciplined and avoid multiplying positions for no good reason, especially in a context of increased volatility.
- Wait for confirmation**: Before taking a position, wait for clear signals and avoid jumping on the first market reactions to economic data.

To sum up, although today's trend is slightly upwards, caution is still called for due to the macroeconomic and geopolitical factors at play. Traders need to remain flexible and attentive to economic data and dollar movements.