XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-28
Opening : 3338
Higher up: 3351.53
Below: 3322
Closing : 3348.55

Economic news :
Global Markets React to Trade Deals, Geopolitical Shifts, and Central Bank Moves
Investinglive Americas FX news wrap 25 Jul: The dollar moves higher ahead of a busy week
GBP/USD Slips Again as Retail Sales Rebound Misses Forecasts

Detailed analysis:
As markets digest recent economic and geopolitical developments, gold (XAUUSD) is showing a moderate uptrend today, closing at 3348.55 after oscillating between a low of 3322 and a high of 3351.53. Immediate resistance lies around 3355, while key support is close to 3320. Volatility remains contained, but particular attention is required due to fluctuations in the dollar, which has strengthened recently in anticipation of crucial economic data and central bank decisions.

### Factors influencing gold :

- US Dollar**: The dollar showed increased strength, supported by expectations of monetary tightening that traders are watching closely.
- Policy rates**: Future movements in interest rates remain uncertain, but any signal of an increase could put downward pressure on gold.
- US inflation and macro** : Upcoming US economic data could influence the direction of the markets, with a potential impact on gold.
- Geopolitical events**: Recent trade developments and geopolitical tensions may continue to play a stabilising or destabilising role for gold.

### Potential scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario** :
- Levels to watch**: If the price rises above 3355, a move towards 3370 is conceivable.
- Invalidation**: A return below 3320 would invalidate this scenario.
- Pitfalls to avoid**: Don't buy on a simple bounce without confirmation of volume or momentum.

2. **Range scenario** :
- Horns**: Between 3320 and 3355.
- Strategy**: Exploit the extremes of the range to enter positions.
- Pitfalls to avoid**: Avoid trading in the middle of the range without a clear signal.

3. **Bearish scenario** :
- Levels to watch**: A break below 3320 could lead to a fall towards 3300.
- Invalidation**: A return above 3355 would invalidate this scenario.
- Pitfalls to avoid**: Don't sell in a panic without confirmation of a clear break-up.

### Risk management advice :

1. **Be careful with oversized positions**: Adapt the size of your positions to current volatility levels and use adjusted stops to limit potential losses.

2. **Wait for confirmation**: Before committing to a position, wait for clear reversal or continuation signals to minimise the risk of false breakouts.

In conclusion, remain vigilant and flexible in your approach, taking account of economic and geopolitical developments that could influence the markets in the short term.