Analyse XAUUSD - 2025-07-22 (12:53)

July 22, 2025

XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-22
Opening : 3397.33
Higher up: 3402.77002
Below: 3383.24
Closing : 3389.67

Economic news :
Dollar weakened by drop yesterday as short squeeze loses momentum
investingLive European markets wrap: Japanese yen jumps, cryptos continue to run hot
Is the GBP/USD Pullback Just Technical Noise or a Deeper Bullish Reversal?

Detailed analysis:
The gold market (XAUUSD) is trending slightly lower today, closing at 3389.67, down from the opening price of 3397.33. Recent volatility remains moderate, as indicated by intraday fluctuations, with a high of 3402.77 and a low of 3383.24. The key support and resistance levels to watch are around 3380 and 3410 respectively.

The US dollar showed signs of weakness as the short squeeze eased, which could potentially support gold, although the pressure remains in favour of sellers for the time being. On the macroeconomic front, US monetary policy remains a crucial factor, with key rates stable but under scrutiny due to persistent inflationary uncertainties. Geopolitical dynamics remain relatively calm, but the volatility of crypto-currencies and movements in the Japanese yen add a layer of complexity to the current environment.

### Bullish scenario
In a bullish scenario, gold could rebound towards resistance at 3410, fuelled by further dollar weakness or renewed inflation concerns. This scenario would be invalidated below critical support at 3380, where a break could signal a return to selling pressure.

### Range scenario
The market could also oscillate between 3380 and 3410, in the absence of major catalysts. Traders should watch out for false break signals, which could trap unwary positions, especially in an environment of moderate volatility.

### Bearish scenario
A bearish scenario would see gold break support at 3380, with potential downside towards 3360 if the dollar were to strengthen unexpectedly. This scenario would be invalidated above 3410, where a sustained move would indicate a bullish reversal.

### Risk management advice
1. **Capital management** : Limit exposure per position, using appropriate stop-losses to protect capital against unexpected adverse movements.
2. **Wait for confirmation**: Before committing to a position, wait for clear confirmation of a breakout or reversal at key levels to avoid the pitfalls of erratic market movements.

In short, close attention to dollar movements and key technical levels will be essential to successfully navigate the gold market today.

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