Analyse XAUUSD - 2025-07-21 (16:49)

XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-21
Opening : 3345
Higher up: 3401.39990
Below: 3345
Closing : 3397.2

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Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is showing a bullish trend. After opening at 3345, the price peaked at 3401.39990 before closing at 3397.2, indicating strong positive momentum. Key levels to watch include immediate support around 3350, while main resistance lies near 3405. Recent volatility suggests increased activity, which could offer interesting opportunities for active traders.

The recent trend in the US dollar, influenced by fluctuations in currencies such as the Japanese yen and the British pound, creates an uncertain environment. The outlook for inflation and Fed rate decisions are also key factors. At present, the absence of major geopolitical news is allowing traders to concentrate on economic data.

**Bullish scenario:** If the price manages to break through and hold above resistance at 3405, we could see a continuation towards 3430. This scenario would be invalidated if the price fell back below 3355, indicating a weakness in bullish momentum.

**Range scenario:** In a consolidation context, the price could oscillate between 3350 and 3405. Trading in this range means watching out for false signals and potential breakouts at these levels.

**Bearish scenario:** A break below support at 3350 could signal renewed selling pressure, with a potential target of 3310. A close above 3405 would invalidate this scenario.

**Risk management advice:**
1. **Caution and patience:** Wait for clear confirmation before taking positions, especially near key levels, to avoid false signals.
2. **Capital management:** Do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade, and avoid overtrading to maintain strict discipline.

To sum up, the gold market seems to offer opportunities for attentive traders, but it is essential to remain vigilant in the face of current volatility and macroeconomic influences.