XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-16
Opening : 3324.3
Higher up: 3377.18994
Below: 3319.78003
Closing : 3343.9

Economic news :
Global FX Market Summary: Escalating Trade Tensions and Tariffs, FED, ECB 16 July 2025
Markets Cheer The Downtick In U.S. PPI
GBP/USD Steadies After Hotter-than-expected Inflation

Detailed analysis:
Today, gold (XAUUSD) is showing a generally bullish trend, closing at 3343.9 after reaching an intraday high of 3377.19. This momentum was underpinned by heightened trade tensions and tariffs, which pushed investors towards safe havens such as gold. In addition, the moderate fall in the US producer price index (PPI) tempered expectations of an aggressive rate hike by the Fed, providing support for the precious metal.

### Key Levels
- Support**: 3319, close to the day's low.
- Resistance**: 3377, which is the highest of the day.

### Volatility and Risk Zones
Volatility was relatively high, fuelled by economic news and geopolitical tensions. Areas to watch include US economic announcements and any further escalation in trade tensions.

### Potential scenarios

1. **Bullish scenario**.
- Expectation**: A break above 3377 could open the way to 3400.
- Invalidation**: Back below 3319.
- Level to Watch**: Confirmation of a breakout with increased volume.
- Pitfall to avoid**: Enter before the confirmed break of resistance levels.

2. **Range Scenario
- Superior Borne**: 3377
- Lower Borne**: 3319
- Strategy**: Trade the bounces between these levels.
- Pitfall to avoid**: Don't anticipate a range exit without confirmation.

3. **Cashier scenario
- Warning**: A fall below 3319 could lead to a drop towards 3300.
- Invalidation**: Rise above 3345, recent mid-point.
- Level to Watch**: Strong sales under the support.
- Pitfall to avoid**: Selling without confirmation of a clear break in support.

### Risk Management Advice
- Money Management**: Use tight stops to protect capital in the event of an unexpected reversal.
- Caution**: Avoid overtrading; wait for solid confirmation before initiating positions, especially in a context of increased volatility.

Adopt a measured approach, taking account of the current macroeconomic context and geopolitical risks.