XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-15
Opening : 3342.4
Higher up: 3366.24
Below: 3320.36011
Closing : 3329.5
Economic news :
GBP/USD - Bears Looking for the Range Bottom
Markets Wait For U.S. CPI
GBP/USD Slides to Key Support as Pressure Mounts
Detailed analysis:
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a downward trend today, closing at 3329.5, below its opening at 3342.4. The downward pressure is accentuated by the recent appreciation of the US dollar, in anticipation of crucial US inflation data due shortly. Traders are keeping a close eye on these figures, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy expectations. In addition, the geopolitical situation remains calm, but any surprises could quickly move the market.
### Key Supports and Resistances
- Immediate support:** 3320, a level tested today.
- Secondary support:** 3300, which could be a psychological pivot.
- Immediate resistance:** 3350, which coincides with the short-term moving average.
- Major resistance:** 3366, the day's high.
### Volatility and Risk Zones
Recent volatility has been moderate, but the approach of inflation data could amplify movements. Traders should keep a close eye on economic announcements and fluctuations in the dollar, which could lead to sharp movements.
### Potential scenarios
1. **Bullish scenario:**
- Assumption:** A return above 3350, supported by weaker-than-expected inflation data.
- Levels to watch:** 3350 as a buy signal, with a potential target of 3366.
- Invalidation:** A fall below 3320 cancels this scenario.
2. **Range scenario:**
- Assumption:** Gold hovers between 3320 and 3350, awaiting decisive news.
- Corners:** Buying near 3320 and selling near 3350.
- Pitfalls to avoid:** Don't get caught out by false or temporary breaks in the middle of the range.
3. **Cashier scenario:**
- Assumption:** Fall below 3320, amplified by higher-than-expected inflation data.
- Levels to watch:** 3320 as breakout point, with 3300 as target.
- Invalidation:** A return above 3350 would invalidate this outlook.
### Risk Management Advice
1. **Money Management:** Adjust your positions so as to risk only a moderate percentage of your capital, particularly with expected volatility.
2. **Wait for confirmation:** Before taking a position, wait for clear confirmation of key levels to avoid erratic movements and false signals.
To sum up, caution is the watchword ahead of any major economic announcements. Traders should remain vigilant and be ready to adjust their strategies according to the new data.
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