XAUUSD analysis - 2025-07-15 (15:51)

XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-15
Opening : 3342.4
Higher up: 3366.24
Below: 3334.53003
Closing : 3350.11011

Economic news :
Markets Wait For U.S. CPI
GBP/USD Slides to Key Support as Pressure Mounts
GBP/JPY Ready to Continue Trending Ahead of This Week News Releases

Detailed analysis:
Today's analysis shows that the gold market (XAUUSD) is in a slightly uptrend, closing at 3350.11, after oscillating between a low of 3334.53 and a high of 3366.24. The key support level is around 3330, while the major resistance to watch is at 3370. Volatility appears moderate at present, but could intensify with the imminent publication of the US consumer price index (CPI), which is likely to influence interest rate expectations.

The US dollar remains under pressure, which slightly favours gold, but caution is called for in view of the current macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should keep a close eye on the GBP/USD pair, as significant movements could indirectly influence gold through the strength of the dollar.

### Potential short-term scenarios :

1. **Bullish scenario:** If the price breaks through resistance at 3370 and holds above this level, gold could target 3400. However, this scenario would be invalidated if the price fell back below 3350, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.

2. **Range scenario:** Gold could move between 3330 and 3370, pending clearer macroeconomic catalysts. This scenario would be invalidated by a sharp breakout from this range, indicating a change in momentum.

3. **Bearish scenario:** In the event of a break below support at 3330, gold could quickly test levels below 3300. This scenario would be invalidated if the price broke back above 3350, signalling a potential return to consolidation.

### Risk management advice :

- Patience and confirmation:** Wait for confirmation of a breakout or rebound before taking a position, especially when the market is awaiting crucial economic data.

- Money management:** Set strict stop-losses and adjust the size of your positions to avoid a significant impact on your portfolio in the event of adverse movements.

To sum up, although the current trend is slightly upwards, caution is still called for in view of the economic uncertainties ahead. Adopt a measured approach and remain attentive to technical and fundamental signals.