XAUUSD data (Gold/Dollar)
Date : 2025-07-14
Opening : 3356.92
Higher up: 3375.020020
Below: 3341.14990
Closing : 3349.59
Economic news :
EUR/USD, FTSE 100 Forecast: Two Trades to Watch
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar steadies, Bitcoin and silver rallies
Dollar Rebounds As Trade War Escalates
Detailed analysis:
Today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is trending slightly lower, closing at 3349.59, down from the opening price of 3356.92. Key levels to watch include immediate support around 3340, corresponding to the day's low, and resistance at 3375, which was tested but not breached. Recent volatility has been moderate, but the escalation of the trade war and the recovery of the US dollar could increase short-term movements.
The recent strengthening of the dollar is putting downward pressure on gold. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the intensification of trade wars, are adding to uncertainty, although gold is traditionally a safe haven, and the strengthening dollar is limiting this effect. Key interest rates remain stable, but inflation remains an issue to watch, as it could influence the Fed's future decisions.
### Potential short-term scenarios :
1. **Bullish scenario**: A recovery above 3375 could signal a return to bullish momentum. In this case, watch for a possible rise towards 3,400. This scenario would be invalidated by a return below 3340, indicating persistent weakness. Beware of false bullish signals if the dollar continues to strengthen.
2. **Range scenario**: A consolidation between 3340 and 3375 could occur if the market hesitates to take a clear direction. Traders should monitor movements in this range and wait for a clear break before taking positions. Avoid being trapped by sideways movements without significant volume.
3. **Bearish scenario**: A break below 3340 could signal a further decline towards 3300. This scenario would be invalidated if the price rose back above 3375. Beware of technical rebounds, which could mislead aggressive sellers.
### Risk management advice :
- Caution and confirmation**: Wait for clear confirmation before entering a position, especially against a backdrop of increased volatility and geopolitical tensions. Don't rush into initial moves without technical validation.
- Avoid overtrading**: Don't get carried away by intraday fluctuations. Maintain strict discipline on the number of trades and respect your stop-loss levels to protect your capital.
In short, caution is the order of the day, with particular attention being paid to trends in the dollar and international tensions, which could rapidly change the situation on the gold market.
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