Forex analysis - 2025-06-30 (00:59)

June 30, 2025

Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-06-30
Opening : 1.37167
Higher up: 1.37281
Below: 1.37119
Closing : 1.37180

Economic news :
Monday open levels, indicative FX prices, 30 June 2025
Markets Wait For PCE Data
Major currencies not up to much to start the session

Detailed analysis:
### Complete Forex Market Analysis - GBP/USD

#### Date: 2025-06-30

**Market data:**
- Open:** 1.37167
- Higher:** 1.37281
- Lower:** 1.37119
- Closing:** 1.37180

#### Major Economic News :
- The markets are awaiting the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data.
- The major currencies were relatively stable at the start of the session.

### Detailed Analysis

#### Current Trend
The GBP/USD market showed a session of low volatility, with limited variation between the day's highs and lows. The close was very close to the opening level, indicating a neutral session in which neither buyers nor sellers gained the upper hand. This neutral trend can be attributed to the expectation of important economic data, such as the PCE data, which may influence the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.

#### Impact of Economic News
PCE data is a key indicator of inflation in the United States and can influence the Fed's monetary policy decisions. The anticipation of this data has probably contributed to the caution seen in the market, with traders preferring to avoid taking large positions ahead of the publication. Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen the US dollar, due to expectations of further monetary tightening by the Fed, which could put downward pressure on GBP/USD.

#### Short-Term Forecasts
- Bullish scenario:** If the PCE data shows moderate or lower than expected inflation, this could reduce the pressure on the Fed to raise rates, weakening the dollar and potentially pushing GBP/USD higher. Levels to watch include a break above 1.37281, which could pave the way for higher resistance levels.

- Conversely, if PCE data indicates higher inflation, this could strengthen the dollar, causing GBP/USD to fall. In this case, a move below 1.37119 support could lead to lower levels, with potential targets around 1.37000.

- Neutral scenario:** In the absence of any significant surprises in economic data, the pair could continue to move sideways, with traders waiting for further information before taking more decisive positions.

### Conclusion
The GBP/USD pair is currently in a holding pattern, with little volatility ahead of crucial economic data. Traders should keep a close eye on economic announcements, as they could provide clues as to the pair's future direction. Caution is advised until the economic and monetary outlook is clearer.

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