Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-06-25
Opening : 1.36113
Higher up: 1.36334
Below: 1.36031
Closing : 1.36090

Economic news :
Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA Rebounds on Ceasefire News and Despite Violation Claims
GBP/USD Rebounds After Trump Announces Israel-Iran Ceasefire
Gold Retreats as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Calms Geopolitical Fears, Eyes on Fed

Detailed analysis:
**Comprehensive analysis of the GBP/USD Forex market**.

**Date:** 2025-06-25

**Summary of the day:**
The GBP/USD pair had a relatively stable day, opening at 1.36113, reaching a high of 1.36334 and a low of 1.36031, before closing slightly lower at 1.36090. The day's movement was contained, indicating some hesitation among traders, probably due to the geopolitical news and expectations regarding the decisions of the US Federal Reserve.

**Technical analysis:**
1. **Current Trend:** The GBP/USD pair is showing a slight downward trend, as evidenced by the close below the opening level. However, the intraday variation remains small, which could indicate a consolidation pending new catalysts.

2. **Key Levels:**
- Immediate support:** 1.36031 (day's low)
- Immediate resistance:** 1.36334 (day's high)
- A break below support could lead to further downward pressure, while a break above resistance could signal a return to a short-term uptrend.

**Impact of Economic News:**
News of the ceasefire between Israel and Iran had a calming effect on the markets, allowing GBP/USD to rebound slightly. However, allegations of ceasefire violations limited optimism, leading to some volatility.

1. **Geopolitical Influence:** The ceasefire has temporarily reduced geopolitical fears, which has helped to reduce the appeal of safe-haven assets such as gold, while slightly supporting riskier currencies such as sterling.

2. **Focus on the Fed:** The markets continue to scrutinise the Federal Reserve's future decisions. Any indication regarding interest rates or future monetary policy could have a significant impact on the US dollar and, consequently, on the GBP/USD pair.

**Short-term forecast:**
1. **Bullish scenario:** If geopolitical tensions continue to ease and the market perceives accommodative signals from the Fed, the GBP/USD could retest immediate resistance at 1.36334 and aim for higher levels.

2. **Bearish scenario:** On the other hand, a resumption of tensions or indications of rate hikes by the Fed could exert downward pressure on the pair, with the potential to test support at 1.36031 or even lower.

3. **Consolidation:** In the absence of any significant news, the pair could continue to trade in a narrow range, reflecting current market uncertainty.

**Conclusion:**
The GBP/USD pair is currently being influenced by geopolitical factors and expectations regarding US monetary policy. Traders should keep a close eye on economic and geopolitical news, as it could trigger significant moves in the pair. A cautious approach is recommended, with particular attention paid to key technical levels to guide trading decisions.

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