Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-06-20
Opening : 1.34602
Higher up: 1.35111
Below: 1.34405
Closing : 1.34450

Economic news :
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Diverging Fed-BoE Weighs on Pound
Futures Rise Ahead Of Record $5.9 Trillion Triple-Witching OpEx
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Markets quiet, tentative as the weekend draws closer

Detailed analysis:
For a complete analysis of the GBP/USD forex market on 20 June 2025, we will look at several key aspects: the current trend, the impact of recent economic news and the short-term forecasts.

### Current trend

The GBP/USD pair has fallen slightly over the day, opening at 1.34602 and closing at 1.34450. The fact that the price closed near the day's low (1.34405) indicates selling pressure. This could suggest a short-term downtrend, especially if this movement is supported by high trading volumes.

### Impact of economic news

1. **Fed-BoE divergence:** Mention of the divergence in monetary policy between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE) is crucial. If the Fed adopts a more aggressive stance on interest rates than the BoE, this could strengthen the US dollar against sterling. This would explain the downward pressure on GBP/USD.

2. **Triple-Witching OpEx:** This event, which involves the simultaneous expiry of various derivative contracts, may lead to increased volatility on the financial markets. The anticipation of such volatility may have led to cautious movements in the GBP/USD, influenced by portfolio adjustments.

3. **Quiet markets before the weekend:** Cautious markets before the weekend may signal temporary risk aversion, contributing to the consolidation of positions and affecting liquidity, which may accentuate price movements even on smaller volumes.

### Short-term forecasts

1. **Bearish scenario:** If the divergence between the Fed and the BoE continues, and US economic data continues to support tighter monetary policy, GBP/USD could continue to fall. A break below support at 1.34405 could open the way to lower levels, potentially around 1.3400.

2. **Bullish scenario:** Conversely, if the BoE signals a tightening of monetary policy or if positive economic data is published in the UK, the pair could rebound. In that case, a recovery above 1.35111 could be on the cards.

3. **Consolidation:** In the absence of new economic catalysts, the pair could enter a consolidation phase between 1.3440 and 1.3510, as traders wait for more clarity on central bank policy directions.

In conclusion, the GBP/USD currently appears to be under downward pressure, mainly due to the monetary policy divergences between the Fed and the BoE. However, future movements will largely depend on economic developments and central bank statements. Traders should keep a close eye on economic news and technical signals to adjust their positions.