Forex analysis - 2025-06-06 (07:55)

June 7, 2025

Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-06-06
Opening : 1.35749
Higher up: 1.35846
Below: 1.35070
Closing : 1.35210

Economic news :
GBP/USD Price Analysis: Pound Fades Gains Ahead of NFP
Global FX Market Summary: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), ECB, US-China Trade Relations 6 June 2025
FX option expiries for 6 June 10am New York cut

Detailed analysis:
**Comprehensive analysis of the GBP/USD Forex market**.

**Date:** 6 June 2025

### Performance of the Day
- Opening:** 1.35749
- Higher:** 1.35846
- Lower:** 1.35070
- Closing:** 1.35210

### Market Context
The foreign exchange market showed notable volatility for the GBP/USD pair on 6 June 2025. The intraday movement was influenced by key economic factors, in particular expectations and reactions to major economic data.

### Major Economic News
1. **GBP/USD Price Analysis: Pound Fades Gains Ahead of NFP**.
- The market is anticipating the release of US non-farm payrolls data, which has led to increased volatility and downward pressure on sterling against the dollar.

2. **Global FX Market Summary: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), ECB, US-China Trade Relations**.
- Trade relations between the United States and China, as well as decisions by the European Central Bank (ECB), have also played a role in market dynamics. Investors are keeping a close eye on any developments that could affect monetary and trade policies.

3. **FX option expiries for 6 June 10am New York cut**.
- Expiring Forex options may have amplified market movements, particularly around key support and resistance levels.

### Detailed Analysis

#### Current Trend
The GBP/USD pair showed a bearish trend over the course of the day, closing below its opening. The inability to hold gains around the 1.35846 level indicates prevailing selling pressure, potentially exacerbated by expectations around the NFP data.

#### Impact of Economic News
- NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls):** The imminent publication of the NFP generally has a significant impact on the US dollar. Expectations of a strong report could have strengthened the dollar, pushing GBP/USD lower.
- US-China relations:** Trade tensions may influence market sentiment, affecting currencies perceived as safe havens, such as the dollar.
- ECB:** Any indication of tighter or more accommodative monetary policy from the ECB could indirectly influence GBP through movements in the euro.

#### Short-Term Forecasts
- Bullish scenario:** If the NFPs disappoint, we could see a rebound in sterling with a potential return to the 1.3580 resistance level.
- Bearish scenario:** A strong NFP report could further strengthen the dollar, pushing the pair towards short-term support around 1.3500.

### Conclusion
Investors should keep a close eye on economic developments and news releases that could influence the GBP/USD pair. Volatility could persist, especially with the release of US employment figures and other geopolitical factors in play. A cautious approach is recommended, with particular attention paid to key technical levels and risk management.

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