Forex analysis - 2025-02-25 (22:03)

Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-02-25
Opening : 1.26177
Higher up: 1.26777
Below: 1.26054
Closing : 1.26710

Economic news :
GBP/USD Forecast Turns Negative Amid US Inflation, Tariffs
Dollar Weakens Despite Hawkish Fed And Fresh Tariff Warnings
World Markets Trade On A Mixed Note

Detailed analysis:
### Complete Forex Market Analysis - GBP/USD

#### 1. current trend

The GBP/USD pair showed a slight rise during the session on 25 February 2025, opening at 1.26177 and closing at 1.26710. The bullish movement is reinforced by the fact that the closing price is close to the day's high at 1.26777, indicating sustained buying pressure throughout the day. However, it is essential to note that the Forex market is highly volatile and subject to rapid change.

#### 2 Impact of Economic News

- US inflation and tariffs:** News of US inflation and warnings of new tariffs weighed on the dollar, causing it to weaken despite the Fed's potentially restrictive monetary policy. This has helped the GBP/USD pair to rise, as a weaker dollar makes sterling relatively stronger.

- Market reaction:** Although the Fed has adopted a hawkish stance, the threat of further tariffs seems to have had a more significant impact on market sentiment, leading to a fall in the dollar. With global markets mixed, investors appear to be looking for safe havens, which could benefit the pound if risk sentiment intensifies.

#### 3. Short-term forecasts

- Bullish scenario:** If pressure on the dollar persists due to concerns over inflation and tariffs, GBP/USD could continue to climb, potentially testing resistance levels around 1.2700. A break above this level could indicate a continuation of the uptrend. A break above this level could indicate a continuation of the uptrend.

- Bearish scenario:** Conversely, if positive economic data from the United States or clarification on tariff policies reassure the markets, the dollar could regain strength. In that case, GBP/USD could fall back towards its short-term support around 1.2600.

- Factors to watch:** Investors should keep an eye on upcoming economic releases from the United States, particularly employment and inflation figures, as well as any trade policy announcements that could influence risk perception.

In conclusion, although the current trend favours a rise in the GBP/USD, global economic uncertainties and the monetary policies of the main central banks will continue to play a crucial role in the future movements of this currency pair.