Forex analysis - 2025-02-25 (19:09)

Forex data GBP/USD
Date : 2025-02-25
Opening : 1.26177
Higher up: 1.26777
Below: 1.26054
Closing : 1.26672

Economic news :
GBP/USD Forecast Turns Negative Amid US Inflation, Tariffs
Dollar Weakens Despite Hawkish Fed And Fresh Tariff Warnings
World Markets Trade On A Mixed Note

Detailed analysis:
To carry out a complete analysis of the Forex market for the GBP/USD pair on 25 February 2025, we need to look at a number of aspects, including price movements, major economic news and short-term forecasts.

### Technical Analysis

**1. Price movements:**
- Open:** 1.26177
- Higher:** 1.26777
- Lowest:** 1.26054
- Closing:** 1.26672

The GBP/USD pair showed some volatility over the course of the day, with a fluctuation range of around 72 pips (from 1.26054 to 1.26777). The close at 1.26672, close to the day's high, indicates buying pressure towards the end of the session.

**2. Current Trend:**
The trend looks slightly bullish on the day, given that the price closed above its opening level. However, the overall medium-term trend needs to be confirmed by analysis of the weekly or monthly charts.

### Fundamental Analysis

**1. Economic News:**
- US inflation and tariffs:** Negative forecasts for the GBP/USD are mainly influenced by concerns about US inflation and new tariff warnings. High inflation could push the Fed to tighten monetary policy, making the dollar more attractive.

- Despite a hawkish Fed, the dollar is showing signs of weakness. This could be due to other economic or geopolitical factors, mitigating the impact of interest rate rises.

- Mixed global markets:** Global markets are mixed, suggesting global uncertainty which could influence currency volatility, including the GBP/USD.

**2. impact of news:**
Recent economic news has had a mixed impact on GBP/USD. On the one hand, concerns about US inflation and tariffs could weigh on the pound. On the other hand, the weakening dollar could offer short-term support to the pair, explaining the higher close.

### Short-Term Forecasts

**Possible scenarios:**

1. **Bullish scenario:**
- If the dollar continues to show signs of weakness and the pound receives support, the pair could retest the resistance level around 1.26777, or even break through it.
- A breach of this level could open the way to 1.2700 and beyond.

2. **Cashier script:**
- If concerns about US inflation and tariffs take over, and the dollar strengthens, the pair could fall back towards support at 1.26054.
- A break below this level could lead to further falls towards 1.2550 or lower.

3. **Side scenario:**
- If the uncertainty on world markets continues, the pair could oscillate between 1.2600 and 1.2680 with no clear direction.

### Conclusion

The GBP/USD pair is currently being influenced by mixed economic factors. Traders should keep a close eye on developments in US inflation and pricing policies, as well as the Fed's decisions. Particular attention should be paid to key support and resistance levels to anticipate future moves.